Calculating Vega in Your Head
30 Nov 2019
TL;DR
βVβΟ=0.4ΓSΓβtDerivation
Black Scholes for a Call/Put option is
V=Ο[SN(Οd1)βKeβrtN(Οd2)]d1,2=logSK+(rΒ±12Ο2)tΟβtItβs easy to see
βVβΟ=SΓn(d1)ΓβtWith ATMF strike, K=Sert,
d1,2=Β±12ΟβtHere comes the approximation part, for short expiries and a wide range of vols,
n(12Οβt)β0.4Itβs easier to check this plot of n(d1) against volatility for different expiries. Immediately we see that even in an extreme market with 100% vol, the approximation is largely correct for short expiries.
Shortcut
Recall that we derived the approximation of ATM option price in Calculating Option Price in Your Head,
C=P=0.4ΓSΓΟβtimmediately you have vega
V=βCβΟ=0.4ΓSΓβtIn Practice
We notice that ATM volatility does not have a strong impact on ATM Vega, this is expecially true for short-dated options.
In Forex, vega are often quoted in asset bps for 1% vol move. Above approximation intepreted in such a style is
βVβΟ=40ΓβtJunior traders often find the below table of approximated vega for standard expiries helpful.
Expiry | 1d | 1w | 2w | 1m | 2m | 3m | 6m | 9m | 1y |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vega (asset bps) | 2.09 | 5.52 | 7.81 | 11.63 | 16.31 | 20.03 | 28.17 | 34.57 | 39.89 |
Exercise
Q: What is the vega amount for a 100 mio notional USDJPY 1m ATM option?
A: From above table we know the vega in asset bps is 11.63, thus total vega in USD is
11.63eβ4Γ100e6=116.3e3The vega amount is 116.3 K USD.
Til next time,
Jianfeng
at 22:08